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USDA raises FY2026 forecast for US ethanol export value

The United States Department of Agriculture has increased its forecast for the value of U.S. ethanol exports for fiscal year 2026, projecting an 11% rise over the previous year.

In its latest quarterly Outlook for U.S. Agriculture Trade report released on May 28, the USDA estimated that U.S. ethanol exports will reach a value of $5.1 billion in fiscal year 2026. The revised estimate is nearly 9% higher than the $4.7 billion forecast issued in February.

According to the report, the value of U.S. ethanol exports stood at $4.595 billion in fiscal year 2025, Ethanol Producer magazine reported.

The U.S. fiscal year runs from October 1 to September 30. For the October-March period of fiscal year 2026, the USDA estimated ethanol export values at $2.77 billion. This marks an increase of more than 20% compared to the $2.299 billion recorded during the same six-month period of fiscal year 2025.

The updated projections were published in the USDA’s quarterly agricultural trade outlook report, which provides estimates for key U.S. farm and biofuel exports.

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