The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has released its Grains and Oilseed Outlook for 2025, forecasting a small increase in soybean production for the 2025-26 marketing year. The report also anticipates a minor drop in soybean oil prices and a rise in soybean oil usage for biofuels, reports Biodiesel magazine.
According to the USDA’s findings, U.S. soybean supplies are projected to grow by less than 1% in 2025-26. This modest increase is attributed to higher starting inventories and a relatively small boost in production. Assuming typical weather conditions, the USDA predicts soybean yields to reach 52.5 bushels per acre, an increase of 1.8 bushels per acre compared to the previous year. However, this yield increase is largely counteracted by a decrease in planted acreage, which is expected to be 84 million acres, down 3.1 million acres from 2024.
The USDA report also highlights a projected increase in soybean crush within the U.S., estimating a rise of 65 million bushels to a total of 2.48 billion bushels. This growth is expected to be driven by demand for soybean oil in both biofuel production and export markets. Specifically, the use of soybean oil for biofuels is anticipated to climb to 14 billion pounds, representing a 400 million pound increase from the prior marketing year.
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